Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.230670 0.266356 0.305534 0.351711 0.404624 0.463339 0.533416
2024-11-03 0.183205 0.231725 0.289768 0.364213 0.457065 0.568963 0.713977
2024-11-10 0.149426 0.205444 0.277921 0.378302 0.513470 0.688912 0.933681
2024-11-17 0.119201 0.177171 0.257852 0.377849 0.551271 0.792244 1.151916
2024-11-24 0.096068 0.153572 0.239233 0.375347 0.585342 0.896011 1.389310
2024-12-01 0.078865 0.134950 0.223961 0.374360 0.620847 1.007181 1.656497
2024-12-08 0.066044 0.120448 0.212051 0.375940 0.660016 1.129660 1.961415
2024-12-15 0.057119 0.110566 0.205658 0.385078 0.712637 1.281499 2.338705
2024-12-22 0.048356 0.099079 0.194192 0.382943 0.744883 1.403335 2.683807
2024-12-29 0.042609 0.092080 0.189505 0.392159 0.798892 1.571344 3.137771
2025-01-05 0.036347 0.082710 0.178449 0.386843 0.823857 1.688763 3.514431
2025-01-12 0.032246 0.077031 0.173723 0.393335 0.873145 1.859951 4.022050
2025-01-19 0.027282 0.068497 0.161627 0.382516 0.885652 1.961542 4.409449
2025-01-26 0.024785 0.065192 0.160453 0.395704 0.952682 2.187453 5.096526
2025-02-02 0.022700 0.062450 0.160077 0.410707 1.026523 2.439668 5.881699
2025-02-09 0.020010 0.057573 0.153663 0.410039 1.063561 2.615287 6.521129
2025-02-16 0.017602 0.052912 0.146891 0.407210 1.094872 2.782468 7.167320
2025-02-23 0.015609 0.048954 0.141179 0.406061 1.130239 2.964787 7.878992
2025-03-02 0.013993 0.045727 0.136812 0.407717 1.173257 3.172615 8.687083
2025-03-09 0.012863 0.043717 0.135466 0.417564 1.240167 3.451537 9.721769
2025-03-16 0.011476 0.040575 0.130231 0.415228 1.272790 3.645568 10.561405
2025-03-23 0.010609 0.038933 0.129177 0.425179 1.342519 3.950264 11.749619
2025-03-30 0.009429 0.035947 0.123369 0.419417 1.364810 4.126994 12.606936